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Analysts are back to expecting a huge oil glut next year as they see the U.S.-Iran deal as the end of the worst of the Middle East crisis. The deal is actually just the beginning of long processes of negotiations, a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, recovery of the more than 13 million barrels per day (bpd) of shut-in oil production in the Middle East, and a world so low on inventories – except in China – that refilling these will support oil prices for months to come. If the deal holds. Every assumption about global oil…
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The U.S. dollar is cracking—and the market knows it. After years of monetary excess, swelling deficits, and policy uncertainty, the world’s reserve currency is losing its grip as a store of value. Capital is fleeing paper promises and piling into hard assets at a pace not seen in decades. Nowhere is this more visible than in precious metals: Gold has surged to above $4,100 per ounce, silver has ripped past $70, and palladium—once written off—has clawed its way back to $1,350. Add an unstable geopolitical backdrop stretching…
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The first new oil sands project in Alberta since 2014 has started commercial production, aiming for a daily average of 80,000 barrels once it ramps up. The Blackrod project, led by International Petroleum Corp., moved to the first phase of production despite the peak oil demand narrative that has dominated the past decade, especially in Canada. Canadian oil sands have been in the focus of transition attention as especially energy-intensive, meaning emission-intensive, and as a high-cost way of extracting crude oil from the ground. Under activist…
Donald Trump has been battling wind turbines in the court of public opinion and in actual court for over a decade now. Trump has railed about “windmills” repeatedly over the course of his presidential term and campaign trails, calling the technology “so pathetic and so bad” before proudly declaring that no wind power will be approved on his watch. “I can proudly say [...] that we have not approved one windmill since I’ve been in office. And we’re going to keep it that way. My goal is to not let any windmill…
Markets expect Middle East oil flows to recover, though analysts warn supply risks remain.